Regional Brazil - Festival SESI de Educação

Qualification · Qualification 39

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

258.81 – 18.19

95%5%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

351 – 68

Prediction correct · off by 71 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 490.3 ±11.7

9200SESI SENAI STARDUST

Season APEX 157.2Event APEX 44.66Rank 9Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9169AGROTECH

Season APEX 77.1Event APEX 16.89Rank 20Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1156Under Control

Season APEX 256Event APEX 197.26Rank 1Record 9-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 163.3 ±20

9163HYDRA

Provisional

Season APEX 32.4Event APEX -16.71Rank 40Record 3-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

9162ALL MIGHT

Season APEX 79.7Event APEX 33.3Rank 11Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 94

9195ProdiXy

Provisional

Season APEX 51.2Event APEX 1.6Rank 19Record 5-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9200, 9169, 1156

/ 100 compat

Projected

258.8 pts

~2.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 9200, 9169, 1156

Auto

47.3 18%

Teleop

157.9 61%

Endgame

53.5 21%

Strengths

· 1156 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 28%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 3%

Blue · 9163, 9162, 9195

/ 100 compat

Projected

18.2 pts

~0.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 9163, 9162, 9195

Auto

5.9 31%

Teleop

4.0 21%

Endgame

9.0 48%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 28%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 3%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.23 · Blue 0.43

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score258.8pts

Blue projected score18.2pts

Red win probability95%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 28%, blue 29%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 240.6
Score range: 1–276
Upset likelihood: 5%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 419 vs event baseline 96.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

490.3Season APEX163.3

47.3Auto5.9

157.9Teleop4

53.5Endgame9

101Consistency115

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	61	14
teleop	205	29
endgame	85	25
foul	0	0
total	351	68

Result

Final score

351 – 68

Prediction correct · off by 71 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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