Qualification · Qualification 24
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
125.73 – 28.8
77%23%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
86 – 35
Prediction correct · off by 23 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 288.3 ±14.1
Season APEX 185.3Event APEX 88.12Rank 3Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 63.9Event APEX 4.66Rank 33Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 89
Season APEX 39.1Event APEX 32.95Rank 45Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 92
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 336.8 ±17.7
Season APEX 233.7Event APEX 17.91Rank 25Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 60.8Event APEX 8.6Rank 18Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 92
9048SESI/SENAI P0T1BAT (Potibat)
Provisional
Season APEX 42.3Event APEX 2.29Rank 36Record 3-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 71
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 7565, 8882, 9219
84
/ 100 compatProjected
125.7 pts
~1.9 RP (regional)
Teams: 7565, 8882, 9219
Auto
24.2 19%
Teleop
66.4 53%
Endgame
33.9 27%
Strengths
- · 7565 anchors offense
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 27%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 9066, 9459, 9048
20
/ 100 compatProjected
28.8 pts
~0.8 RP (regional)
Teams: 9066, 9459, 9048
Auto
4.4 16%
Teleop
29.9 100%
Endgame
-6.5 0%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 27%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.85 · Blue 0.78
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score125.7pts
Blue projected score28.8pts
Red win probability77%
Event bonus sample174alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 27%, blue 28%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 96.9
- Score range
- 12–143
- Upset likelihood
- 23%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
288.3Season APEX336.8
24.2Auto4.4
66.4Teleop29.9
33.9Endgame-6.5
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 15 | 11 |
| teleop | 56 | 11 |
| endgame | 0 | 13 |
| foul | 15 | 0 |
| total | 86 | 35 |
Result
Final score
86 – 35
Prediction correct · off by 23 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
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