Regional Brazil - Festival SESI de Educação

Qualification · Qualification 22

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

86.74 – 87.8

50%50%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

30 – 92

Prediction correct · off by 30.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 135.8 ±20.5

9486ALPHASTORM FRC

Season APEX 50.1Event APEX 46.48Rank 28Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 89

9195ProdiXy

Provisional

Season APEX 51.2Event APEX 26.09Rank 19Record 5-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

9302PARATECH FRC

Provisional

Season APEX 34.5Event APEX 14.17Rank 43Record 2-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 192.2 ±20

10917M.A.P.L.E.

Provisional

Season APEX 61.9Event APEX 45.71Rank 17Record 5-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

9614ROBOSSAUROS

Provisional

Season APEX 27.3Event APEX -0.66Rank 34Record 4-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

9110SESI SENAI ATOMIIC

Season APEX 103Event APEX 42.75Rank 23Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9486, 9195, 9302

/ 100 compat

Projected

86.7 pts

~1.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 9486, 9195, 9302

Auto

14.4 17%

Teleop

36.0 43%

Endgame

34.3 40%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 30%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10917, 9614, 9110

/ 100 compat

Projected

87.8 pts

~1.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 10917, 9614, 9110

Auto

27.1 31%

Teleop

44.4 51%

Endgame

16.0 18%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 30%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.33 · Blue 1.3

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score86.7pts

Blue projected score87.8pts

Red win probability50%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 30%, blue 24%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -1.1
Score range: 70–105
Upset likelihood: 50%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 122 vs event baseline 96.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

135.8Season APEX192.2

14.4Auto27.1

36Teleop44.4

34.3Endgame16

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	12	34
teleop	13	46
endgame	5	12
foul	0	0
total	30	92

Result

Final score

30 – 92

Prediction correct · off by 30.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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