Qualification · Qualification 2
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
73.64 – 264.99
8%92%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
35 – 264
Prediction correct · off by 19.8 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 130.8 ±20
Season APEX 77.1Event APEX 47.98Rank 20Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
10295FOREST GUARDIANS
Provisional
Season APEX 17.9Event APEX 4.94Rank 39Record 3-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 71
10263Temari Robotics
Provisional
Season APEX 35.8Event APEX 20.72Rank 37Record 3-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 71
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 477.2 ±11.7
Season APEX 185.3Event APEX 80.57Rank 3Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 105.6Event APEX 79.93Rank 6Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 186.3Event APEX 104.49Rank 2Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 9169, 10295, 10263
45
/ 100 compatProjected
73.6 pts
~0.4 RP (regional)
Teams: 9169, 10295, 10263
Auto
22.1 31%
Teleop
28.3 39%
Endgame
22.0 30%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 21%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 3%
Blue · 7565, 9047, 7563
83
/ 100 compatProjected
265 pts
~2.4 RP (regional)
Teams: 7565, 9047, 7563
Auto
56.4 22%
Teleop
140.6 54%
Endgame
63.1 24%
Strengths
- · 7563 anchors offense
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 21%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 3%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.42 · Blue 2.36
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score73.6pts
Blue projected score265pts
Red win probability8%
Event bonus sample174alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 21%, blue 48%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 3%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -191.4
- Score range
- 53–286
- Upset likelihood
- 8%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-16
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
130.8Season APEX477.2
22.1Auto56.4
28.3Teleop140.6
22Endgame63.1
10Consistency24
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 15 | 62 |
| teleop | 11 | 124 |
| endgame | 9 | 73 |
| foul | 0 | 5 |
| total | 35 | 264 |
Result
Final score
35 – 264
Prediction correct · off by 19.8 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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