Regional Brazil - Festival SESI de Educação

Qualification · Qualification 13

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

126.63 – 59.93

70%30%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

182 – 115

Prediction correct · off by 55.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 396.5 ±15.1

7567SESI SENAI OCTOPUS

Season APEX 155.6Event APEX 30Rank 13Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9164Tech Vikings

Provisional

Season APEX 54.6Event APEX 13.34Rank 24Record 4-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

7563SESI SENAI MEGAZORD

Season APEX 186.3Event APEX 83.29Rank 2Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 177.4 ±17.7

9219Nine Tails

Season APEX 39.1Event APEX 30Rank 45Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 92

1860Alphabots

Season APEX 97Event APEX 25.64Rank 5Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9046SESI SENAI BBTECH

Provisional

Season APEX 41.3Event APEX 4.29Rank 44Record 2-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7567, 9164, 7563

/ 100 compat

Projected

126.6 pts

~1.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 7567, 9164, 7563

Auto

27.2 22%

Teleop

60.6 49%

Endgame

36.3 29%

Strengths

· 7563 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9219, 1860, 9046

/ 100 compat

Projected

59.9 pts

~1.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 9219, 1860, 9046

Auto

19.3 33%

Teleop

18.5 31%

Endgame

21.0 36%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.83 · Blue 1

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score126.6pts

Blue projected score59.9pts

Red win probability70%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 40%, blue 35%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 66.7
Score range: 45–142
Upset likelihood: 30%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 297 vs event baseline 85.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

396.5Season APEX177.4

27.2Auto19.3

60.6Teleop18.5

36.3Endgame21

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	24	39
teleop	93	49
endgame	65	27
foul	0	0
total	182	115

Result

Final score

182 – 115

Prediction correct · off by 55.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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