Final · Finals 1
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
350.35 – 171.22
90%10%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
319 – 160
Prediction correct · off by 21.3 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 676 ±11.2
Season APEX 186.3Event APEX 104.69Rank 2Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 233.7Event APEX 24.7Rank 25Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 256Event APEX 220.96Rank 1Record 9-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 426 ±11
Season APEX 69.5Event APEX 6.98Rank 32Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 171.2Event APEX 83.67Rank 7Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 185.3Event APEX 80.57Rank 3Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 7563, 9066, 1156
81
/ 100 compatProjected
350.4 pts
~2.3 RP (regional)
Teams: 7563, 9066, 1156
Auto
70.1 20%
Teleop
201.7 58%
Endgame
76.9 22%
Strengths
- · 1156 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 42%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 9460, 9175, 7565
81
/ 100 compatProjected
171.2 pts
~0.6 RP (regional)
Teams: 9460, 9175, 7565
Auto
33.7 20%
Teleop
97.6 57%
Endgame
38.5 23%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 42%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.26 · Blue 0.58
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score350.4pts
Blue projected score171.2pts
Red win probability90%
Event bonus sample174alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 42%, blue 34%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 3%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 179.1
- Score range
- 151–370
- Upset likelihood
- 10%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
676Season APEX426
70.1Auto33.7
201.7Teleop97.6
76.9Endgame38.5
17Consistency23
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 79 | 37 |
| teleop | 143 | 81 |
| endgame | 82 | 42 |
| foul | 15 | 0 |
| total | 319 | 160 |
Result
Final score
319 – 160
Prediction correct · off by 21.3 pts
Match videos
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