Playoff · Playoff Match 7 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

389.05 – 211.6

90%10%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

221 – 218

Prediction correct · off by 87.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 521.3 ±11.9

359Hawaiian Kids

Season APEX 268.2Event APEX 202.52Rank 1Record 10-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9180Ursa Major Robotics

Season APEX 56Event APEX 17.13Rank 34Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 80

3683Team DAVE

Season APEX 197.1Event APEX 169.4Rank 2Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 403.8 ±12.7

610Crescent Coyotes

Season APEX 215.3Event APEX 79.55Rank 8Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7190Vancouver Rainstorms

Season APEX 33.2Event APEX 18.29Rank 31Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 79

9406TechJunior

Season APEX 155.3Event APEX 113.76Rank 7Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 359, 9180, 3683

/ 100 compat

Projected

389.1 pts

~2.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 359, 9180, 3683

Auto

81.7 21%

Teleop

216.7 56%

Endgame

87.2 23%

Strengths

· 359 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 610, 7190, 9406

/ 100 compat

Projected

211.6 pts

~0.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 610, 7190, 9406

Auto

33.6 16%

Teleop

119.8 58%

Endgame

53.3 26%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.37 · Blue 0.65

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score389.1pts

Blue projected score211.6pts

Red win probability90%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 52%, blue 42%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 177.5
Score range: 188–413
Upset likelihood: 10%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 439 vs event baseline 135.1.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

521.3Season APEX403.8

81.7Auto33.6

216.7Teleop119.8

87.2Endgame53.3

29Consistency14

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	51	28
teleop	118	135
endgame	47	40
foul	5	15
total	221	218

Result

Final score

221 – 218

Prediction correct · off by 87.2 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.