Playoff · Playoff Match 6 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

92.96 – 157.54

31%69%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

145 – 182

Prediction correct · off by 38.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 204.6 ±17.1

7334Esquimalt Proton Pulverizers

Season APEX 77.5Event APEX 18.16Rank 11Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11149Blue Lightning

Season APEX 59.5Event APEX 24.66Rank 25Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 76

7688Creekside Robotics

Season APEX 67.6Event APEX 50.14Rank 22Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 76

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 313.9 ±14.9

9449Yellowjackets

Season APEX 164.3Event APEX 63.68Rank 10Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10951Saigon South Dragons

Season APEX 90.3Event APEX 56.26Rank 19Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6188Sting Robotics

Season APEX 59.3Event APEX 37.6Rank 33Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 77

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7334, 11149, 7688

/ 100 compat

Projected

93 pts

~1.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 7334, 11149, 7688

Auto

24.1 27%

Teleop

34.8 39%

Endgame

29.7 34%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9449, 10951, 6188

/ 100 compat

Projected

157.5 pts

~1.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 9449, 10951, 6188

Auto

21.7 16%

Teleop

78.6 57%

Endgame

37.1 27%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.06 · Blue 1.77

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score93pts

Blue projected score157.5pts

Red win probability31%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 41%, blue 34%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -64.6
Score range: 69–182
Upset likelihood: 31%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 327 vs event baseline 134.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

204.6Season APEX313.9

24.1Auto21.7

34.8Teleop78.6

29.7Endgame37.1

29Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	19	24
teleop	71	144
endgame	50	14
foul	5	0
total	145	182

Result

Final score

145 – 182

Prediction correct · off by 38.3 pts

Match videos

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