Playoff · Playoff Match 1 R1
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
380.04 – 103.64
97%3%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
425 – 98
Prediction correct · off by 25.3 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 521.3 ±11.9
Season APEX 268.2Event APEX 200.68Rank 1Record 10-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 56Event APEX 12.55Rank 34Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 80
Season APEX 197.1Event APEX 166.81Rank 2Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 199.3 ±17.5
Season APEX 50Event APEX 28.73Rank 12Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 76
Season APEX 66Event APEX 40.14Rank 16Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 77
Season APEX 83.3Event APEX 34.77Rank 17Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 359, 9180, 3683
83
/ 100 compatProjected
380 pts
~2.5 RP (regional)
Teams: 359, 9180, 3683
Auto
85.8 23%
Teleop
203.2 54%
Endgame
87.3 23%
Strengths
- · 359 anchors offense
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 52%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 9719, 8331, 4627
49
/ 100 compatProjected
103.6 pts
~0.6 RP (regional)
Teams: 9719, 8331, 4627
Auto
22.7 24%
Teleop
33.8 36%
Endgame
38.6 41%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 52%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.51 · Blue 0.57
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score380pts
Blue projected score103.6pts
Red win probability97%
Event bonus sample178alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 52%, blue 47%
Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 276.4
- Score range
- 81–403
- Upset likelihood
- 3%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
521.3Season APEX199.3
85.8Auto22.7
203.2Teleop33.8
87.3Endgame38.6
49Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 70 | 30 |
| teleop | 268 | 27 |
| endgame | 87 | 36 |
| foul | 0 | 5 |
| total | 425 | 98 |
Result
Final score
425 – 98
Prediction correct · off by 25.3 pts
Match videos
Watch right here, no need to leave the page.