Qualification · Qualification 72

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

42.38 – 10.44

60%40%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

47 – 52

Prediction missed · off by 23.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 177.7 ±17.7

2013Cybergnomes

Season APEX 113.6Event APEX 15.2Rank 21Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9649Mulgrave Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 24.1Event APEX 7.27Rank 39Record 3-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

7135System Reset

Provisional

Season APEX 40Event APEX 19.91Rank 41Record 2-8-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 123.1 ±19.7

11410WGSS Delta Lab

Provisional

Season APEX 48.9Event APEX -1.58Rank 18Record 6-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

7332Vancouver Puddle Jumpers

Provisional

Season APEX 41Event APEX 3.91Rank 30Record 5-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

7190Vancouver Rainstorms

Season APEX 33.2Event APEX 8.11Rank 31Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 79

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2013, 9649, 7135

/ 100 compat

Projected

42.4 pts

~1.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 2013, 9649, 7135

Auto

12.8 32%

Teleop

17.2 44%

Endgame

9.4 24%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11410, 7332, 7190

/ 100 compat

Projected

10.4 pts

~1.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 11410, 7332, 7190

Auto

11.6 100%

Teleop

3.3 100%

Endgame

-11.9 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.56 · Blue 1.11

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score42.4pts

Blue projected score10.4pts

Red win probability60%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 32%, blue 26%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 31.9
Score range: -13–65
Upset likelihood: 40%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Close match

Combined score 99 vs event baseline 129.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

177.7Season APEX123.1

12.8Auto11.6

17.2Teleop3.3

9.4Endgame-11.9

33Consistency17

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	19	18
teleop	16	17
endgame	7	17
foul	5	0
total	47	52

Result

Final score

47 – 52

Prediction missed · off by 23.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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