Qualification · Qualification 70

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

35.74 – 107.27

29%71%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

91 – 113

Prediction correct · off by 30.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 187.6 ±17.7

6188Sting Robotics

Season APEX 59.3Event APEX 27.69Rank 33Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 77

6364Ten Ton

Season APEX 107.9Event APEX 4.42Rank 36Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11302Hot Rods

Provisional

Season APEX 20.4Event APEX 3.63Rank 44Record 1-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 309.5 ±15.6

4627Manning Robotics

Season APEX 83.3Event APEX 33.13Rank 17Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9449Yellowjackets

Season APEX 164.3Event APEX 58.87Rank 10Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10427Kitimat Sentinels

Provisional

Season APEX 61.9Event APEX 15.27Rank 13Record 6-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6188, 6364, 11302

/ 100 compat

Projected

35.7 pts

~0.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 6188, 6364, 11302

Auto

4.3 13%

Teleop

16.3 49%

Endgame

12.8 38%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 21%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4627, 9449, 10427

/ 100 compat

Projected

107.3 pts

~1.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 4627, 9449, 10427

Auto

17.3 18%

Teleop

54.4 57%

Endgame

23.7 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 21%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.84 · Blue 1.93

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score35.7pts

Blue projected score107.3pts

Red win probability29%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 21%, blue 47%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -71.5
Score range: 12–131
Upset likelihood: 29%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 204 vs event baseline 130.6.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

187.6Season APEX309.5

4.3Auto17.3

16.3Teleop54.4

12.8Endgame23.7

53Consistency11

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	13	13
teleop	53	69
endgame	5	31
foul	20	0
total	91	113

Result

Final score

91 – 113

Prediction correct · off by 30.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.