Qualification · Qualification 7
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
52.33 – 52.33
50%50%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
21 – 52
Prediction missed · off by 15.8 points
Limited current-season data (6 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 81.3 ±19.2
9550STRIX Robotics
Provisional
Season APEX 5.6Event APEX -Rank 43Record 2-8-0Status provisionalConfidence 73
9465Imagine High Axolotls
Provisional
Season APEX 32.5Event APEX -Rank 37Record 3-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 73
Season APEX 43.2Event APEX -Rank 29Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 83
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 143.5 ±20.2
Season APEX 50Event APEX -Rank 12Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 76
10427Kitimat Sentinels
Provisional
Season APEX 61.9Event APEX -Rank 13Record 6-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 73
11354Access2Innovate Foundation
Provisional
Season APEX 31.6Event APEX -Rank 23Record 5-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 73
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 9550, 9465, 6390
50
/ 100 compatProjected
52.3 pts
~1.4 RP (regional)
Teams: 9550, 9465, 6390
Auto
15.7 30%
Teleop
26.2 50%
Endgame
10.5 20%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 32%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 9719, 10427, 11354
50
/ 100 compatProjected
52.3 pts
~1.5 RP (regional)
Teams: 9719, 10427, 11354
Auto
15.7 30%
Teleop
26.2 50%
Endgame
10.5 20%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 32%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.36 · Blue 1.47
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score52.3pts
Blue projected score52.3pts
Red win probability50%
Event bonus sample178alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 32%, blue 43%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 0
- Score range
- 33–71
- Upset likelihood
- 50%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
81.3Season APEX143.5
-Auto-
-Teleop-
-Endgame-
-Consistency-
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 9 | 11 |
| teleop | 12 | 19 |
| endgame | 0 | 17 |
| foul | 0 | 5 |
| total | 21 | 52 |
Result
Final score
21 – 52
Prediction missed · off by 15.8 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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