Qualification · Qualification 60

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

58.9 – 53.79

52%48%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

43 – 60

Prediction missed · off by 11.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 162.5 ±18.8

11354Access2Innovate Foundation

Provisional

Season APEX 31.6Event APEX 10.69Rank 23Record 5-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

7796Breaker Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 47.6Event APEX 10.74Rank 38Record 3-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

4627Manning Robotics

Season APEX 83.3Event APEX 37.47Rank 17Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 176.4 ±17.7

7334Esquimalt Proton Pulverizers

Season APEX 77.5Event APEX 26.15Rank 11Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9719ThunderTech Robotics

Season APEX 50Event APEX 28.62Rank 12Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 76

11410WGSS Delta Lab

Provisional

Season APEX 48.9Event APEX -0.98Rank 18Record 6-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11354, 7796, 4627

/ 100 compat

Projected

58.9 pts

~1.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 11354, 7796, 4627

Auto

6.0 13%

Teleop

18.5 41%

Endgame

21.1 46%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7334, 9719, 11410

/ 100 compat

Projected

53.8 pts

~1.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 7334, 9719, 11410

Auto

19.8 39%

Teleop

14.1 27%

Endgame

17.4 34%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.47 · Blue 1.39

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score58.9pts

Blue projected score53.8pts

Red win probability52%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 39%, blue 38%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 5.1
Score range: 31–82
Upset likelihood: 48%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 103 vs event baseline 127.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

162.5Season APEX176.4

6Auto19.8

18.5Teleop14.1

21.1Endgame17.4

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	5	13
teleop	23	18
endgame	15	14
foul	0	15
total	43	60

Result

Final score

43 – 60

Prediction missed · off by 11.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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