Qualification · Qualification 49

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

70.97 – 70.83

50%50%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

124 – 41

Prediction correct · off by 41.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 202 ±15.2

7190Vancouver Rainstorms

Season APEX 33.2Event APEX 7.17Rank 31Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 79

10120Wulfa the Wolf

Season APEX 91.3Event APEX 43.01Rank 9Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 91

7334Esquimalt Proton Pulverizers

Season APEX 77.5Event APEX 20.79Rank 11Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 157.5 ±19.2

11391Hypatia

Provisional

Season APEX 48.5Event APEX 18.47Rank 32Record 4-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

10384Sparkanovas

Season APEX 76.5Event APEX 21.89Rank 24Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 91

9465Imagine High Axolotls

Provisional

Season APEX 32.5Event APEX 30.47Rank 37Record 3-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7190, 10120, 7334

/ 100 compat

Projected

71 pts

~1.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 7190, 10120, 7334

Auto

8.0 12%

Teleop

36.6 54%

Endgame

22.6 34%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11391, 10384, 9465

/ 100 compat

Projected

70.8 pts

~1.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 11391, 10384, 9465

Auto

1.5 3%

Teleop

35.6 65%

Endgame

17.4 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.39 · Blue 1.45

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score71pts

Blue projected score70.8pts

Red win probability50%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 35%, blue 41%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 0.1
Score range: 48–94
Upset likelihood: 50%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 165 vs event baseline 126.1.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

202Season APEX157.5

8Auto1.5

36.6Teleop35.6

22.6Endgame17.4

6Consistency16

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	11	8
teleop	79	18
endgame	24	10
foul	10	5
total	124	41

Result

Final score

124 – 41

Prediction correct · off by 41.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.