Qualification · Qualification 45

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

83.91 – 34.13

65%35%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

33 – 55

Prediction missed · off by 35.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 147.8 ±19.6

9719ThunderTech Robotics

Season APEX 50Event APEX 43.47Rank 12Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 76

4862Manning Mountaineers

Provisional

Season APEX 38.3Event APEX 14.44Rank 42Record 2-8-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

11149Blue Lightning

Season APEX 59.5Event APEX 26Rank 25Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 76

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 213.8 ±18.4

6364Ten Ton

Season APEX 107.9Event APEX 10.06Rank 36Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9474Red River Resistance (3R)

Provisional

Season APEX 44Event APEX 12.97Rank 27Record 5-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

10427Kitimat Sentinels

Provisional

Season APEX 61.9Event APEX 11.1Rank 13Record 6-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9719, 4862, 11149

/ 100 compat

Projected

83.9 pts

~1.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 9719, 4862, 11149

Auto

13.8 17%

Teleop

36.5 46%

Endgame

28.8 36%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6364, 9474, 10427

/ 100 compat

Projected

34.1 pts

~1.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 6364, 9474, 10427

Auto

10.4 35%

Teleop

16.6 56%

Endgame

2.5 8%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.72 · Blue 1.07

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score83.9pts

Blue projected score34.1pts

Red win probability65%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 38%, blue 33%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 49.8
Score range: 12–106
Upset likelihood: 35%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 88 vs event baseline 124.3.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

147.8Season APEX213.8

13.8Auto10.4

36.5Teleop16.6

28.8Endgame2.5

21Consistency118

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	15	17
teleop	10	25
endgame	8	13
foul	0	0
total	33	55

Result

Final score

33 – 55

Prediction missed · off by 35.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.