Qualification · Qualification 44

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

54.53 – 96.19

37%63%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

35 – 190

Prediction correct · off by 56.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 134.1 ±18.4

9649Mulgrave Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 24.1Event APEX -8.95Rank 39Record 3-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

7334Esquimalt Proton Pulverizers

Season APEX 77.5Event APEX 27.89Rank 11Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9465Imagine High Axolotls

Provisional

Season APEX 32.5Event APEX 35.59Rank 37Record 3-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 330 ±17

4270Crusaders

Season APEX 223.8Event APEX 73.11Rank 6Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6188Sting Robotics

Season APEX 59.3Event APEX 24.64Rank 33Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 77

105275-Star

Provisional

Season APEX 46.9Event APEX -1.56Rank 35Record 3-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9649, 7334, 9465

/ 100 compat

Projected

54.5 pts

~1.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 9649, 7334, 9465

Auto

-0.9 0%

Teleop

31.0 53%

Endgame

28.0 48%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4270, 6188, 10527

/ 100 compat

Projected

96.2 pts

~1.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 4270, 6188, 10527

Auto

18.4 19%

Teleop

52.5 53%

Endgame

28.0 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.13 · Blue 1.69

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score54.5pts

Blue projected score96.2pts

Red win probability37%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 35%, blue 39%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -41.7
Score range: 33–118
Upset likelihood: 37%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 225 vs event baseline 124.6.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

134.1Season APEX330

-0.9Auto18.4

31Teleop52.5

28Endgame28

26Consistency51

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	6	29
teleop	24	110
endgame	5	51
foul	0	0
total	35	190

Result

Final score

35 – 190

Prediction correct · off by 56.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.