Qualification · Qualification 39

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

35.25 – 65.74

41%59%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

92 – 23

Prediction missed · off by 49.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 162.7 ±19.1

7190Vancouver Rainstorms

Season APEX 33.2Event APEX 2.75Rank 31Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 79

10427Kitimat Sentinels

Provisional

Season APEX 61.9Event APEX 8.22Rank 13Record 6-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

7688Creekside Robotics

Season APEX 67.6Event APEX 24.28Rank 22Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 76

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 156 ±20.2

11149Blue Lightning

Season APEX 59.5Event APEX 34.07Rank 25Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 76

11410WGSS Delta Lab

Provisional

Season APEX 48.9Event APEX 15.84Rank 18Record 6-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

7796Breaker Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 47.6Event APEX 15.83Rank 38Record 3-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7190, 10427, 7688

/ 100 compat

Projected

35.3 pts

~1.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 7190, 10427, 7688

Auto

27.5 100%

Teleop

-18.7 0%

Endgame

17.5 67%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 33%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11149, 11410, 7796

/ 100 compat

Projected

65.7 pts

~1.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 11149, 11410, 7796

Auto

20.2 35%

Teleop

24.4 43%

Endgame

12.6 22%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 33%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.18 · Blue 1.6

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score35.3pts

Blue projected score65.7pts

Red win probability41%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 33%, blue 37%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -30.5
Score range: 13–88
Upset likelihood: 41%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 115 vs event baseline 120.3.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

162.7Season APEX156

27.5Auto20.2

-18.7Teleop24.4

17.5Endgame12.6

69Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	17	13
teleop	51	3
endgame	24	7
foul	0	0
total	92	23

Result

Final score

92 – 23

Prediction missed · off by 49.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.