Qualification · Qualification 29

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

158.59 – 161.91

49%51%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

240 – 216

Prediction missed · off by 67.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 389.6 ±12.2

4421FORGE Robotics

Season APEX 221.8Event APEX 89.19Rank 3Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10951Saigon South Dragons

Season APEX 90.3Event APEX 44.68Rank 19Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7334Esquimalt Proton Pulverizers

Season APEX 77.5Event APEX 24.72Rank 11Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 291.8 ±17.3

7135System Reset

Provisional

Season APEX 40Event APEX -2.67Rank 41Record 2-8-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

11149Blue Lightning

Season APEX 59.5Event APEX 36.55Rank 25Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 76

3990Tech for Kids

Season APEX 192.3Event APEX 128.03Rank 4Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4421, 10951, 7334

/ 100 compat

Projected

158.6 pts

~1.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 4421, 10951, 7334

Auto

14.9 9%

Teleop

108.9 66%

Endgame

41.3 25%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7135, 11149, 3990

/ 100 compat

Projected

161.9 pts

~1.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 7135, 11149, 3990

Auto

30.2 19%

Teleop

90.4 58%

Endgame

35.2 23%

Strengths

· 3990 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.48 · Blue 1.5

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score158.6pts

Blue projected score161.9pts

Red win probability49%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 46%, blue 43%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -3.3
Score range: 138–183
Upset likelihood: 49%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 456 vs event baseline 116.2.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

389.6Season APEX291.8

14.9Auto30.2

108.9Teleop90.4

41.3Endgame35.2

69Consistency61

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	45	49
teleop	111	141
endgame	69	26
foul	15	0
total	240	216

Result

Final score

240 – 216

Prediction missed · off by 67.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.