Qualification · Qualification 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

119.74 – 208.6

25%75%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

87 – 153

Prediction correct · off by 44.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 214.6 ±17

10120Wulfa the Wolf

Season APEX 91.3Event APEX 69.69Rank 9Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 91

7135System Reset

Provisional

Season APEX 40Event APEX 17.45Rank 41Record 2-8-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

4627Manning Robotics

Season APEX 83.3Event APEX 32.6Rank 17Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 373.5 ±13.5

7688Creekside Robotics

Season APEX 67.6Event APEX 53.71Rank 22Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 76

3990Tech for Kids

Season APEX 192.3Event APEX 139.88Rank 4Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2013Cybergnomes

Season APEX 113.6Event APEX 15.01Rank 21Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10120, 7135, 4627

/ 100 compat

Projected

119.7 pts

~0.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 10120, 7135, 4627

Auto

15.9 14%

Teleop

71.7 64%

Endgame

24.1 22%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7688, 3990, 2013

/ 100 compat

Projected

208.6 pts

~2.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 7688, 3990, 2013

Auto

58.1 28%

Teleop

105.0 51%

Endgame

44.6 21%

Strengths

· 3990 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.94 · Blue 2.03

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score119.7pts

Blue projected score208.6pts

Red win probability25%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 40%, blue 48%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -88.9
Score range: 93–236
Upset likelihood: 25%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 240 vs event baseline 147.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

214.6Season APEX373.5

15.9Auto58.1

71.7Teleop105

24.1Endgame44.6

37Consistency37

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	7	51
teleop	42	57
endgame	23	40
foul	15	5
total	87	153

Result

Final score

87 – 153

Prediction correct · off by 44.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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