Qualification · Qualification 15

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

55.61 – 83.6

41%59%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

223 – 238

Prediction correct · off by 160.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 289.2 ±17.3

3990Tech for Kids

Season APEX 192.3Event APEX 17.1Rank 4Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9719ThunderTech Robotics

Season APEX 50Event APEX 6.91Rank 12Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 76

105275-Star

Provisional

Season APEX 46.9Event APEX 31.6Rank 35Record 3-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 346.2 ±13.7

8338Bear Force

Season APEX 72.6Event APEX -4.75Rank 20Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 91

3683Team DAVE

Season APEX 197.1Event APEX 50.48Rank 2Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10384Sparkanovas

Season APEX 76.5Event APEX 37.87Rank 24Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 91

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3990, 9719, 10527

/ 100 compat

Projected

55.6 pts

~1.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 3990, 9719, 10527

Auto

20.0 36%

Teleop

22.6 40%

Endgame

13.3 24%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8338, 3683, 10384

/ 100 compat

Projected

83.6 pts

~1.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 8338, 3683, 10384

Auto

32.0 40%

Teleop

27.5 34%

Endgame

20.5 26%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.38 · Blue 1.72

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score55.6pts

Blue projected score83.6pts

Red win probability41%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 51%, blue 49%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -28
Score range: 38–102
Upset likelihood: 41%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 461 vs event baseline 101.6.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

289.2Season APEX346.2

20Auto32

22.6Teleop27.5

13.3Endgame20.5

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	52	49
teleop	107	148
endgame	64	36
foul	0	5
total	223	238

Result

Final score

223 – 238

Prediction correct · off by 160.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.