Qualification · Qualification 12

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

72.84 – 115.13

37%63%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

87 – 287

Prediction correct · off by 93 points

Limited current-season data (11 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 158.5 ±19.6

11354Access2Innovate Foundation

Provisional

Season APEX 31.6Event APEX 14.86Rank 23Record 5-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

7688Creekside Robotics

Season APEX 67.6Event APEX 43.71Rank 22Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 76

6188Sting Robotics

Season APEX 59.3Event APEX 14.27Rank 33Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 77

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 472.1 ±10.2

2013Cybergnomes

Season APEX 113.6Event APEX 43.71Rank 21Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

359Hawaiian Kids

Season APEX 268.2Event APEX 68.95Rank 1Record 10-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10951Saigon South Dragons

Season APEX 90.3Event APEX 2.47Rank 19Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11354, 7688, 6188

/ 100 compat

Projected

72.8 pts

~1.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 11354, 7688, 6188

Auto

22.5 32%

Teleop

24.8 35%

Endgame

23.3 33%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2013, 359, 10951

/ 100 compat

Projected

115.1 pts

~1.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 2013, 359, 10951

Auto

25.4 23%

Teleop

54.9 50%

Endgame

30.6 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.11 · Blue 1.79

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score72.8pts

Blue projected score115.1pts

Red win probability37%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 32%, blue 49%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -42.3
Score range: 56–132
Upset likelihood: 37%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 374 vs event baseline 96.8.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

158.5Season APEX472.1

22.5Auto25.4

24.8Teleop54.9

23.3Endgame30.6

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	13	63
teleop	40	140
endgame	29	64
foul	5	20
total	87	287

Result

Final score

87 – 287

Prediction correct · off by 93 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.