Playoff · Playoff Match 7 R2
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
265.69 – 302.28
39%61%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
335 – 346
Prediction correct · off by 56.5 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 617.9 ±8.8
Season APEX 107.5Event APEX 2.47Rank 46Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 249.5Event APEX 105.33Rank 18Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 260.9Event APEX 157.89Rank 9Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 664.1 ±9.3
Season APEX 95.1Event APEX 21.8Rank 38Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 297.5Event APEX 65.31Rank 24Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 271.5Event APEX 215.17Rank 4Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 10063, 190, 2370
68
/ 100 compatProjected
265.7 pts
~1.8 RP (offseason)
Teams: 10063, 190, 2370
Auto
41.1 15%
Teleop
154.7 56%
Endgame
78.1 29%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 64%
Supercharged: 11%
Traversal: 23%
Blue · 1735, 238, 1922
73
/ 100 compatProjected
302.3 pts
~2.2 RP (offseason)
Teams: 1735, 238, 1922
Auto
37.2 12%
Teleop
167.1 55%
Endgame
101.7 33%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 64%
Supercharged: 11%
Traversal: 23%
Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.76 · Blue 2.19
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setOffseason
Red projected score265.7pts
Blue projected score302.3pts
Red win probability39%
Event bonus sample188alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 64%, blue 59%
Supercharged bonusred 11%, blue 17%
Traversal bonusred 23%, blue 20%
- Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -36.6
- Score range
- 223–345
- Upset likelihood
- 39%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Match context
Close match
High scoring
Playoff
Combined score 681 vs event baseline 240.1.
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
617.9Season APEX664.1
41.1Auto37.2
154.7Teleop167.1
78.1Endgame101.7
79Consistency118
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 43 | 83 |
| teleop | 149 | 157 |
| endgame | 143 | 96 |
| foul | 0 | 10 |
| total | 335 | 346 |
Result
Final score
335 – 346
Prediction correct · off by 56.5 pts