Qualification · Qualification 8
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
115.18 – 115.18
50%50%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
152 – 52
Prediction correct · off by 50 points
Limited current-season data (7 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 437.4 ±11.7
Season APEX 90.3Event APEX -Rank 21Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 268.3Event APEX -Rank 7Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 78.8Event APEX -Rank 26Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 94
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 279.7 ±12.2
Season APEX 95.1Event APEX -Rank 38Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 87.8Event APEX -Rank 40Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 96.8Event APEX -Rank 31Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 6731, 131, 516
50
/ 100 compatProjected
115.2 pts
~1.8 RP (offseason)
Teams: 6731, 131, 516
Auto
34.6 30%
Teleop
57.6 50%
Endgame
23.0 20%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 56%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 15%
Blue · 1735, 3461, 2262
50
/ 100 compatProjected
115.2 pts
~1.7 RP (offseason)
Teams: 1735, 3461, 2262
Auto
34.6 30%
Teleop
57.6 50%
Endgame
23.0 20%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 56%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 15%
Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.76 · Blue 1.66
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setOffseason
Red projected score115.2pts
Blue projected score115.2pts
Red win probability50%
Event bonus sample188alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 56%, blue 39%
Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 11%
Traversal bonusred 15%, blue 16%
- Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 0
- Score range
- 74–156
- Upset likelihood
- 50%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
437.4Season APEX279.7
-Auto-
-Teleop-
-Endgame-
-Consistency-
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 54 | 7 |
| teleop | 47 | 20 |
| endgame | 51 | 5 |
| foul | 0 | 20 |
| total | 152 | 52 |
Result
Final score
152 – 52
Prediction correct · off by 50 pts
Score check across official sources:
first-unavailable
Match videos
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