Qualification · Qualification 72
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
292.69 – 168.34
82%18%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
378 – 243
Prediction correct · off by 80 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 359 ±11.7
Season APEX 271.5Event APEX 206.85Rank 4Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 23.5Event APEX 22.11Rank 34Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 64Event APEX 63.73Rank 23Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 436.6 ±11.4
Season APEX 249.5Event APEX 85.65Rank 18Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 90.3Event APEX 38.82Rank 21Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 96.8Event APEX 43.87Rank 31Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 1922, 1474, 6933
76
/ 100 compatProjected
292.7 pts
~2.5 RP (offseason)
Teams: 1922, 1474, 6933
Auto
39.5 14%
Teleop
146.7 50%
Endgame
105.9 36%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
RP bonus probability
Energized: 64%
Supercharged: 11%
Traversal: 11%
Blue · 190, 6731, 2262
49
/ 100 compatProjected
168.3 pts
~1.1 RP (offseason)
Teams: 190, 6731, 2262
Auto
19.8 16%
Teleop
61.1 49%
Endgame
43.7 35%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 64%
Supercharged: 11%
Traversal: 11%
Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.51 · Blue 1.15
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setOffseason
Red projected score292.7pts
Blue projected score168.3pts
Red win probability82%
Event bonus sample188alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 64%, blue 51%
Supercharged bonusred 11%, blue 10%
Traversal bonusred 11%, blue 19%
- Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 124.4
- Score range
- 126–335
- Upset likelihood
- 18%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
359Season APEX436.6
39.5Auto19.8
146.7Teleop61.1
105.9Endgame43.7
134Consistency23
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 54 | 44 |
| teleop | 201 | 123 |
| endgame | 123 | 76 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 378 | 243 |
Result
Final score
378 – 243
Prediction correct · off by 80 pts
Score check across official sources:
first-unavailable
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