Qualification · Qualification 71

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

202.46 – 188.07

54%46%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

277 – 311

Prediction missed · off by 98.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 529.6 ±9.8

1729Team Inconceivable!

Season APEX 123.9Event APEX 109.95Rank 19Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

238Crusaders

A+

Season APEX 297.5Event APEX 61.49Rank 24Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10910The Outlaws

Season APEX 108.2Event APEX 31.02Rank 36Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 411.2 ±10.5

157AZTECHS

Season APEX 65.1Event APEX 45.2Rank 22Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8708Ov3R1y K0Mp13X

Season APEX 77.8Event APEX 37.88Rank 29Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

131CHAOS

Season APEX 268.3Event APEX 104.99Rank 7Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1729, 238, 10910

/ 100 compat

Projected

202.5 pts

~1.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1729, 238, 10910

Auto

27.5 13%

Teleop

110.8 53%

Endgame

70.5 34%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 17%

Blue · 157, 8708, 131

/ 100 compat

Projected

188.1 pts

~1.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 157, 8708, 131

Auto

31.2 16%

Teleop

107.7 56%

Endgame

53.4 28%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 17%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.92 · Blue 1.65

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score202.5pts

Blue projected score188.1pts

Red win probability54%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 57%, blue 52%

Supercharged bonusred 9%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 17%, blue 17%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 14.4
Score range: 146–244
Upset likelihood: 46%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Combined score 588 vs event baseline 235.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

529.6Season APEX411.2

27.5Auto31.2

110.8Teleop107.7

70.5Endgame53.4

85Consistency65

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	42	31
teleop	146	185
endgame	89	95
foul	0	0
total	277	311

Result

Final score

277 – 311

Prediction missed · off by 98.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable