Qualification · Qualification 70

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

224.37 – 245.97

43%57%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

273 – 197

Prediction missed · off by 48.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 455.1 ±11.7

8085MOJO

Season APEX 131.3Event APEX 84.55Rank 5Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

173RAGE Robotics ⚙️

Season APEX 117.2Event APEX 55.75Rank 17Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1591Greece Gladiators

Season APEX 206.6Event APEX 84.07Rank 8Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 94

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 344.3 ±11

10262Bionic Buzzers

Season APEX 97.2Event APEX 107.96Rank 25Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

151Tough Techs

Season APEX 125.8Event APEX 66.29Rank 30Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1155SciBorgs

Season APEX 121.3Event APEX 71.72Rank 15Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8085, 173, 1591

/ 100 compat

Projected

224.4 pts

~1.8 RP (offseason)

Teams: 8085, 173, 1591

Auto

42.1 18%

Teleop

115.7 50%

Endgame

72.2 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 18%

Traversal: 19%

Blue · 10262, 151, 1155

/ 100 compat

Projected

246 pts

~1.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 10262, 151, 1155

Auto

14.7 7%

Teleop

124.3 61%

Endgame

63.3 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 18%

Traversal: 19%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.83 · Blue 1.87

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score224.4pts

Blue projected score246pts

Red win probability43%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 59%, blue 54%

Supercharged bonusred 18%, blue 9%

Traversal bonusred 19%, blue 10%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -21.6
Score range: 182–288
Upset likelihood: 43%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 470 vs event baseline 235.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

455.1Season APEX344.3

42.1Auto14.7

115.7Teleop124.3

72.2Endgame63.3

19Consistency32

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	81	18
teleop	131	117
endgame	61	52
foul	0	10
total	273	197

Result

Final score

273 – 197

Prediction missed · off by 48.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable