Qualification · Qualification 7

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

116.17 – 116.17

50%50%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

238 – 199

Prediction correct · off by 102.3 points

Limited current-season data (6 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 274 ±11.6

5735Control Freaks

Season APEX 56.8Event APEX -Rank 43Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

126Gael Force

Season APEX 85.9Event APEX -Rank 12Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8085MOJO

Season APEX 131.3Event APEX -Rank 5Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 396.9 ±10.8

1474Titans

Season APEX 23.5Event APEX -Rank 34Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

190Gompei and the HERD

Season APEX 249.5Event APEX -Rank 18Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1729Team Inconceivable!

Season APEX 123.9Event APEX -Rank 19Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5735, 126, 8085

/ 100 compat

Projected

116.2 pts

~1.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 5735, 126, 8085

Auto

34.8 30%

Teleop

58.1 50%

Endgame

23.2 20%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 15%

Blue · 1474, 190, 1729

/ 100 compat

Projected

116.2 pts

~1.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1474, 190, 1729

Auto

34.8 30%

Teleop

58.1 50%

Endgame

23.2 20%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 15%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.65 · Blue 1.86

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score116.2pts

Blue projected score116.2pts

Red win probability50%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 42%, blue 62%

Supercharged bonusred 8%, blue 13%

Traversal bonusred 15%, blue 12%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 0
Score range: 74–158
Upset likelihood: 50%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 437 vs event baseline 232.3.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

274Season APEX396.9

-Auto-

-Teleop-

-Endgame-

-Consistency-

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	53	10
teleop	128	152
endgame	57	37
foul	0	0
total	238	199

Result

Final score

238 – 199

Prediction correct · off by 102.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable