Qualification · Qualification 67

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

224.59 – 477.67

4%96%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

268 – 553

Prediction correct · off by 59.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 413 ±11.1

126Gael Force

Season APEX 85.9Event APEX 84.16Rank 12Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3461Operation PEACCE Robotics

Season APEX 87.8Event APEX 7.41Rank 40Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

166Chop Shop

Season APEX 239.3Event APEX 133.02Rank 11Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 734.9 ±8.8

694StuyPulse

A+

Season APEX 323.3Event APEX 260.9Rank 1Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1735Green Reapers

Season APEX 95.1Event APEX 13.56Rank 38Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1768Nashoba Robotics

A+

Season APEX 316.5Event APEX 203.21Rank 6Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 126, 3461, 166

/ 100 compat

Projected

224.6 pts

~0.8 RP (offseason)

Teams: 126, 3461, 166

Auto

31.3 14%

Teleop

136.5 60%

Endgame

60.9 27%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 10%

Blue · 694, 1735, 1768

/ 100 compat

Projected

477.7 pts

~3.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: 694, 1735, 1768

Auto

72.6 16%

Teleop

263.6 57%

Endgame

128.0 28%

Strengths

· 694 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 10%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.77 · Blue 3.05

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score224.6pts

Blue projected score477.7pts

Red win probability4%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 52%, blue 68%

Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 29%

Traversal bonusred 10%, blue 16%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -253.1
Score range: 183–520
Upset likelihood: 4%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 821 vs event baseline 234.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

413Season APEX734.9

31.3Auto72.6

136.5Teleop263.6

60.9Endgame128

147Consistency59

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	67	67
teleop	113	345
endgame	88	136
foul	0	5
total	268	553

Result

Final score

268 – 553

Prediction correct · off by 59.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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