Qualification · Qualification 66

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

329.99 – 270.12

68%32%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

371 – 333

Prediction correct · off by 51.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 466.7 ±11.2

2265Fe Maidens

Season APEX 95.2Event APEX 38.08Rank 28Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5813Morpheus

Season APEX 264.7Event APEX 234.51Rank 3Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8544Reinforcement

Season APEX 106.8Event APEX 57.4Rank 27Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 354.1 ±40.8

8567Team Ultraviolet

Season APEX 93.2Event APEX 47.48Rank 37Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2370IBOTS

Season APEX 260.9Event APEX 136.38Rank 9Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9990Off-Season Demo Team 9990

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 86.26Rank 35Record 3-6-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2265, 5813, 8544

/ 100 compat

Projected

330 pts

~2.2 RP (offseason)

Teams: 2265, 5813, 8544

Auto

59.0 17%

Teleop

201.1 60%

Endgame

77.6 23%

Strengths

· 5813 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 15%

Blue · 8567, 2370, 9990

/ 100 compat

Projected

270.1 pts

~1.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 8567, 2370, 9990

Auto

48.8 18%

Teleop

143.7 52%

Endgame

83.4 30%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 15%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.22 · Blue 1.59

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score330pts

Blue projected score270.1pts

Red win probability68%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 62%, blue 62%

Supercharged bonusred 9%, blue 13%

Traversal bonusred 15%, blue 20%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 59.9
Score range: 228–372
Upset likelihood: 32%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 704 vs event baseline 232.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

466.7Season APEX354.1

59Auto48.8

201.1Teleop143.7

77.6Endgame83.4

86Consistency119

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	75	70
teleop	206	164
endgame	80	99
foul	10	0
total	371	333

Result

Final score

371 – 333

Prediction correct · off by 51.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable