Qualification · Qualification 65

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

75.11 – 159.36

26%74%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

48 – 281

Prediction correct · off by 74.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 222.5 ±12.2

6153Blue Crew

Season APEX 58.6Event APEX 39.49Rank 42Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5494Bizarbots Robotics

Season APEX 79.2Event APEX 31.79Rank 41Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7153Aetos Dios (Eagles of Zeus)

Season APEX 84.7Event APEX 3.83Rank 45Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 452.9 ±11.4

271Mechanical Marauders

Season APEX 147.8Event APEX 12.2Rank 48Record 1-8-0Status establishedConfidence 89

4575Gemini

Season APEX 84.5Event APEX 9.28Rank 47Record 1-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

48Team E.L.I.T.E.

Season APEX 220.6Event APEX 137.88Rank 2Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6153, 5494, 7153

/ 100 compat

Projected

75.1 pts

~1.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: 6153, 5494, 7153

Auto

23.0 34%

Teleop

11.6 17%

Endgame

32.3 48%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 10%

Blue · 271, 4575, 48

/ 100 compat

Projected

159.4 pts

~2.5 RP (offseason)

Teams: 271, 4575, 48

Auto

40.3 28%

Teleop

77.2 53%

Endgame

27.8 19%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 10%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.01 · Blue 2.49

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score75.1pts

Blue projected score159.4pts

Red win probability26%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 31%, blue 57%

Supercharged bonusred 8%, blue 13%

Traversal bonusred 10%, blue 31%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -84.3
Score range: 33–201
Upset likelihood: 26%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 329 vs event baseline 233.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

222.5Season APEX452.9

23Auto40.3

11.6Teleop77.2

32.3Endgame27.8

47Consistency112

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	6	51
teleop	39	143
endgame	3	82
foul	0	5
total	48	281

Result

Final score

48 – 281

Prediction correct · off by 74.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable