Qualification · Qualification 64

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

337.99 – 140.53

92%8%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

405 – 258

Prediction correct · off by 92.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 528.6 ±9.8

151Tough Techs

Season APEX 125.8Event APEX 61.53Rank 30Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8085MOJO

Season APEX 131.3Event APEX 77.28Rank 5Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1922Oz-Ram

Season APEX 271.5Event APEX 199.18Rank 4Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 305.7 ±11

10910The Outlaws

Season APEX 108.2Event APEX 21.69Rank 36Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2423The KwarQs

Season APEX 133.5Event APEX 69.56Rank 33Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6933Archytas

Season APEX 64Event APEX 49.28Rank 23Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 151, 8085, 1922

/ 100 compat

Projected

338 pts

~2.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 151, 8085, 1922

Auto

65.7 20%

Teleop

182.8 54%

Endgame

87.0 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 67%

Supercharged: 21%

Traversal: 13%

Blue · 10910, 2423, 6933

/ 100 compat

Projected

140.5 pts

~0.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 10910, 2423, 6933

Auto

49.5 31%

Teleop

62.9 40%

Endgame

46.1 29%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 67%

Supercharged: 21%

Traversal: 13%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.85 · Blue 0.88

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score338pts

Blue projected score140.5pts

Red win probability92%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 67%, blue 52%

Supercharged bonusred 21%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 13%, blue 15%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 197.5
Score range: 99–380
Upset likelihood: 8%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 663 vs event baseline 232.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

528.6Season APEX305.7

65.7Auto49.5

182.8Teleop62.9

87Endgame46.1

114Consistency73

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	17	50
teleop	217	115
endgame	171	88
foul	0	5
total	405	258

Result

Final score

405 – 258

Prediction correct · off by 92.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable