Qualification · Qualification 63

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

163.51 – 187.64

43%57%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

97 – 296

Prediction correct · off by 87.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 231.1 ±12.7

1277The Robotomies

Season APEX 77.5Event APEX 88.33Rank 13Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2262Robo-Panthers

Season APEX 96.8Event APEX 55.24Rank 31Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5735Control Freaks

Season APEX 56.8Event APEX 19.94Rank 43Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 497.6 ±11.2

1155SciBorgs

Season APEX 121.3Event APEX 59.72Rank 15Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

516StuyPlus

Season APEX 78.8Event APEX 79.69Rank 26Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 94

238Crusaders

A+

Season APEX 297.5Event APEX 48.23Rank 24Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1277, 2262, 5735

/ 100 compat

Projected

163.5 pts

~1.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1277, 2262, 5735

Auto

29.4 26%

Teleop

47.7 42%

Endgame

37.3 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 33%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 14%

Blue · 1155, 516, 238

/ 100 compat

Projected

187.6 pts

~1.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1155, 516, 238

Auto

17.3 12%

Teleop

74.3 52%

Endgame

51.3 36%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 33%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 14%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.4 · Blue 1.89

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score163.5pts

Blue projected score187.6pts

Red win probability43%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 33%, blue 53%

Supercharged bonusred 8%, blue 6%

Traversal bonusred 14%, blue 15%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -24.1
Score range: 122–230
Upset likelihood: 43%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 393 vs event baseline 232.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

231.1Season APEX497.6

29.4Auto17.3

47.7Teleop74.3

37.3Endgame51.3

51Consistency64

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	21	56
teleop	49	150
endgame	27	60
foul	0	30
total	97	296

Result

Final score

97 – 296

Prediction correct · off by 87.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable