Qualification · Qualification 62

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

296.32 – 218.66

72%28%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

520 – 245

Prediction correct · off by 125 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 631.5 ±10.8

1768Nashoba Robotics

A+

Season APEX 316.5Event APEX 179.6Rank 6Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1591Greece Gladiators

Season APEX 206.6Event APEX 62.7Rank 8Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 94

467Center of Mass

Season APEX 108.4Event APEX 54.02Rank 16Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 322.5 ±11.6

6731Record Robotics

Season APEX 90.3Event APEX 47.43Rank 21Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1729Team Inconceivable!

Season APEX 123.9Event APEX 106.63Rank 19Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2342Team Phoenix

Season APEX 108.3Event APEX 64.6Rank 32Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1768, 1591, 467

/ 100 compat

Projected

296.3 pts

~2.5 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1768, 1591, 467

Auto

72.5 26%

Teleop

127.8 46%

Endgame

75.9 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 23%

Traversal: 15%

Blue · 6731, 1729, 2342

/ 100 compat

Projected

218.7 pts

~1.3 RP (offseason)

Teams: 6731, 1729, 2342

Auto

30.7 13%

Teleop

153.5 65%

Endgame

51.2 22%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 23%

Traversal: 15%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.45 · Blue 1.32

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score296.3pts

Blue projected score218.7pts

Red win probability72%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 62%, blue 55%

Supercharged bonusred 23%, blue 8%

Traversal bonusred 15%, blue 14%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 77.7
Score range: 178–337
Upset likelihood: 28%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 765 vs event baseline 230.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

631.5Season APEX322.5

72.5Auto30.7

127.8Teleop153.5

75.9Endgame51.2

48Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	74	31
teleop	318	115
endgame	128	84
foul	0	15
total	520	245

Result

Final score

520 – 245

Prediction correct · off by 125 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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