Qualification · Qualification 61

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

96.26 – 397.97

2%98%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

80 – 437

Prediction correct · off by 27.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 183.7 ±12.2

157AZTECHS

Season APEX 65.1Event APEX 53.25Rank 22Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1474Titans

Season APEX 23.5Event APEX 34.63Rank 34Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1735Green Reapers

Season APEX 95.1Event APEX 8.38Rank 38Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 623.6 ±9.3

5813Morpheus

Season APEX 264.7Event APEX 234.11Rank 3Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11175Tidal Shock

Season APEX 98Event APEX 25.99Rank 39Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2370IBOTS

Season APEX 260.9Event APEX 137.87Rank 9Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 157, 1474, 1735

/ 100 compat

Projected

96.3 pts

~0.7 RP (offseason)

Teams: 157, 1474, 1735

Auto

-1.3 0%

Teleop

97.8 84%

Endgame

20.2 17%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 12%

Blue · 5813, 11175, 2370

/ 100 compat

Projected

398 pts

~3.1 RP (offseason)

Teams: 5813, 11175, 2370

Auto

62.2 16%

Teleop

229.6 58%

Endgame

107.2 27%

Strengths

· 5813 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 12%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.72 · Blue 3.14

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score96.3pts

Blue projected score398pts

Red win probability2%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 48%, blue 70%

Supercharged bonusred 8%, blue 29%

Traversal bonusred 12%, blue 20%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -301.7
Score range: 55–439
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 517 vs event baseline 229.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

183.7Season APEX623.6

-1.3Auto62.2

97.8Teleop229.6

20.2Endgame107.2

63Consistency129

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	12	53
teleop	32	260
endgame	31	124
foul	5	0
total	80	437

Result

Final score

80 – 437

Prediction correct · off by 27.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable