Qualification · Qualification 6

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

227.08 – 82.96

86%14%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

249 – 60

Prediction correct · off by 22.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 473.3 ±9.8

166Chop Shop

Season APEX 239.3Event APEX 118.71Rank 11Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10910The Outlaws

Season APEX 108.2Event APEX 46.16Rank 36Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

151Tough Techs

Season APEX 125.8Event APEX 62.21Rank 30Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 230.8 ±12.8

7153Aetos Dios (Eagles of Zeus)

Season APEX 84.7Event APEX 4.64Rank 45Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2265Fe Maidens

Season APEX 95.2Event APEX 38.24Rank 28Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4176Iron Tigers

Season APEX 50.9Event APEX 40.08Rank 44Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 166, 10910, 151

/ 100 compat

Projected

227.1 pts

~2.5 RP (offseason)

Teams: 166, 10910, 151

Auto

44.1 19%

Teleop

127.9 55%

Endgame

61.5 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 8%

Blue · 7153, 2265, 4176

/ 100 compat

Projected

83 pts

~0.8 RP (offseason)

Teams: 7153, 2265, 4176

Auto

28.5 34%

Teleop

32.7 39%

Endgame

22.2 27%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 8%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.47 · Blue 0.83

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score227.1pts

Blue projected score83pts

Red win probability86%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 60%, blue 38%

Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 6%

Traversal bonusred 8%, blue 10%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 144.1
Score range: 37–273
Upset likelihood: 14%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 309 vs event baseline 253.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

473.3Season APEX230.8

44.1Auto28.5

127.9Teleop32.7

61.5Endgame22.2

123Consistency71

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	51	17
teleop	150	33
endgame	48	10
foul	0	0
total	249	60

Result

Final score

249 – 60

Prediction correct · off by 22.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable