Qualification · Qualification 58

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

379.45 – 180.01

92%8%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

244 – 251

Prediction missed · off by 103.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 452 ±11.2

4176Iron Tigers

Season APEX 50.9Event APEX 47.51Rank 44Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

694StuyPulse

A+

Season APEX 323.3Event APEX 281.41Rank 1Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8708Ov3R1y K0Mp13X

Season APEX 77.8Event APEX 50.53Rank 29Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 423.3 ±11.2

2265Fe Maidens

Season APEX 95.2Event APEX 35.04Rank 28Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10063S.C.R.A.P.

Season APEX 107.5Event APEX 8.25Rank 46Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

48Team E.L.I.T.E.

Season APEX 220.6Event APEX 136.72Rank 2Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4176, 694, 8708

/ 100 compat

Projected

379.5 pts

~2.8 RP (offseason)

Teams: 4176, 694, 8708

Auto

42.9 11%

Teleop

229.9 59%

Endgame

120.0 31%

Strengths

· 694 anchors offense
· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 16%

Traversal: 21%

Blue · 2265, 10063, 48

/ 100 compat

Projected

180 pts

~0.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 2265, 10063, 48

Auto

35.2 20%

Teleop

91.5 53%

Endgame

46.4 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 16%

Traversal: 21%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.78 · Blue 0.95

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score379.5pts

Blue projected score180pts

Red win probability92%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 56%, blue 55%

Supercharged bonusred 16%, blue 8%

Traversal bonusred 21%, blue 17%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 199.4
Score range: 139–420
Upset likelihood: 8%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Close match

Combined score 495 vs event baseline 228.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

452Season APEX423.3

42.9Auto35.2

229.9Teleop91.5

120Endgame46.4

94Consistency73

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	66	55
teleop	108	122
endgame	55	74
foul	15	0
total	244	251

Result

Final score

244 – 251

Prediction missed · off by 103.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable