Qualification · Qualification 55

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

72.82 – 337.25

4%96%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

143 – 331

Prediction correct · off by 38.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 218.8 ±11.6

6933Archytas

Season APEX 64Event APEX 46.32Rank 23Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5735Control Freaks

Season APEX 56.8Event APEX 15.61Rank 43Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11175Tidal Shock

Season APEX 98Event APEX 10.89Rank 39Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 608.6 ±9.3

166Chop Shop

Season APEX 239.3Event APEX 140.33Rank 11Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2370IBOTS

Season APEX 260.9Event APEX 145.28Rank 9Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

467Center of Mass

Season APEX 108.4Event APEX 51.64Rank 16Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6933, 5735, 11175

/ 100 compat

Projected

72.8 pts

~0.7 RP (offseason)

Teams: 6933, 5735, 11175

Auto

23.8 31%

Teleop

36.6 48%

Endgame

16.5 21%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 13%

Blue · 166, 2370, 467

/ 100 compat

Projected

337.3 pts

~2.8 RP (offseason)

Teams: 166, 2370, 467

Auto

56.2 17%

Teleop

192.4 57%

Endgame

90.5 27%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 13%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.67 · Blue 2.83

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score72.8pts

Blue projected score337.3pts

Red win probability4%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 39%, blue 66%

Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 14%

Traversal bonusred 13%, blue 11%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -264.4
Score range: 32–378
Upset likelihood: 4%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 474 vs event baseline 226.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

218.8Season APEX608.6

23.8Auto56.2

36.6Teleop192.4

16.5Endgame90.5

109Consistency114

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	21	66
teleop	47	146
endgame	75	79
foul	0	40
total	143	331

Result

Final score

143 – 331

Prediction correct · off by 38.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable