Qualification · Qualification 52

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

245.78 – 177.78

70%30%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

259 – 327

Prediction missed · off by 81.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 335.4 ±40.8

126Gael Force

Season APEX 85.9Event APEX 82.66Rank 12Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9990Off-Season Demo Team 9990

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 87Rank 35Record 3-6-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

190Gompei and the HERD

Season APEX 249.5Event APEX 76.12Rank 18Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 388.7 ±11.2

48Team E.L.I.T.E.

Season APEX 220.6Event APEX 117.1Rank 2Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4176Iron Tigers

Season APEX 50.9Event APEX 31.34Rank 44Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

173RAGE Robotics ⚙️

Season APEX 117.2Event APEX 29.34Rank 17Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 126, 9990, 190

/ 100 compat

Projected

245.8 pts

~2.3 RP (offseason)

Teams: 126, 9990, 190

Auto

33.8 14%

Teleop

148.1 62%

Endgame

56.9 24%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 20%

Blue · 48, 4176, 173

/ 100 compat

Projected

177.8 pts

~1.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 48, 4176, 173

Auto

20.1 12%

Teleop

89.3 53%

Endgame

57.6 34%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 20%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.25 · Blue 1.6

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score245.8pts

Blue projected score177.8pts

Red win probability70%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 57%, blue 58%

Supercharged bonusred 9%, blue 17%

Traversal bonusred 20%, blue 25%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 68
Score range: 137–287
Upset likelihood: 30%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 586 vs event baseline 225.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

335.4Season APEX388.7

33.8Auto20.1

148.1Teleop89.3

56.9Endgame57.6

77Consistency44

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	13	70
teleop	163	193
endgame	83	54
foul	0	10
total	259	327

Result

Final score

259 – 327

Prediction missed · off by 81.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable