Qualification · Qualification 51

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

163.65 – 131.55

60%40%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

258 – 135

Prediction correct · off by 48.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 398.8 ±11

4122Ossining OBOTS

Season APEX 233.2Event APEX 128.76Rank 10Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8708Ov3R1y K0Mp13X

Season APEX 77.8Event APEX 50.49Rank 29Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3461Operation PEACCE Robotics

Season APEX 87.8Event APEX -15.6Rank 40Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 366.8 ±12.4

151Tough Techs

Season APEX 125.8Event APEX 58.94Rank 30Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8567Team Ultraviolet

Season APEX 93.2Event APEX 63.81Rank 37Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

271Mechanical Marauders

Season APEX 147.8Event APEX 8.8Rank 48Record 1-8-0Status establishedConfidence 89

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4122, 8708, 3461

/ 100 compat

Projected

163.7 pts

~1.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 4122, 8708, 3461

Auto

18.7 12%

Teleop

81.6 54%

Endgame

50.0 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 22%

Blue · 151, 8567, 271

/ 100 compat

Projected

131.6 pts

~1.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 151, 8567, 271

Auto

43.7 35%

Teleop

41.1 33%

Endgame

40.4 32%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 22%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.93 · Blue 1.6

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score163.7pts

Blue projected score131.6pts

Red win probability60%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 44%, blue 52%

Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 13%

Traversal bonusred 22%, blue 14%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 32.1
Score range: 91–205
Upset likelihood: 40%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 393 vs event baseline 226.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

398.8Season APEX366.8

18.7Auto43.7

81.6Teleop41.1

50Endgame40.4

94Consistency138

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	29	17
teleop	124	76
endgame	105	42
foul	0	0
total	258	135

Result

Final score

258 – 135

Prediction correct · off by 48.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable