Qualification · Qualification 50

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

133.25 – 286.62

13%87%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

119 – 463

Prediction correct · off by 95.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 421 ±11.2

10063S.C.R.A.P.

Season APEX 107.5Event APEX 7.54Rank 46Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8724Mayhem

Season APEX 234.3Event APEX 96.49Rank 20Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5494Bizarbots Robotics

Season APEX 79.2Event APEX 29.22Rank 41Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 454.6 ±10.5

8085MOJO

Season APEX 131.3Event APEX 65.5Rank 5Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5813Morpheus

Season APEX 264.7Event APEX 208.77Rank 3Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6153Blue Crew

Season APEX 58.6Event APEX 12.35Rank 42Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10063, 8724, 5494

/ 100 compat

Projected

133.3 pts

~1.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: 10063, 8724, 5494

Auto

15.3 13%

Teleop

46.7 40%

Endgame

55.6 47%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 24%

Blue · 8085, 5813, 6153

/ 100 compat

Projected

286.6 pts

~2.7 RP (offseason)

Teams: 8085, 5813, 6153

Auto

63.7 22%

Teleop

150.4 52%

Endgame

76.5 26%

Strengths

· 5813 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 24%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.97 · Blue 2.69

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score133.3pts

Blue projected score286.6pts

Red win probability13%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 39%, blue 56%

Supercharged bonusred 8%, blue 24%

Traversal bonusred 24%, blue 14%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -153.4
Score range: 93–327
Upset likelihood: 13%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 582 vs event baseline 224.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

421Season APEX454.6

15.3Auto63.7

46.7Teleop150.4

55.6Endgame76.5

32Consistency39

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	41	90
teleop	20	263
endgame	58	105
foul	0	5
total	119	463

Result

Final score

119 – 463

Prediction correct · off by 95.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable