Qualification · Qualification 5

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

127.32 – 370.44

5%95%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

87 – 298

Prediction correct · off by 56.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 279.2 ±10.5

173RAGE Robotics ⚙️

Season APEX 117.2Event APEX 47.33Rank 17Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1277The Robotomies

Season APEX 77.5Event APEX 65.38Rank 13Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4575Gemini

Season APEX 84.5Event APEX 14.61Rank 47Record 1-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 450.9 ±9.8

467Center of Mass

Season APEX 108.4Event APEX 71.53Rank 16Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8708Ov3R1y K0Mp13X

Season APEX 77.8Event APEX 61.22Rank 29Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5813Morpheus

Season APEX 264.7Event APEX 237.69Rank 3Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 173, 1277, 4575

/ 100 compat

Projected

127.3 pts

~0.8 RP (offseason)

Teams: 173, 1277, 4575

Auto

26.3 21%

Teleop

71.3 58%

Endgame

25.7 21%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 17%

Blue · 467, 8708, 5813

/ 100 compat

Projected

370.4 pts

~2.8 RP (offseason)

Teams: 467, 8708, 5813

Auto

62.4 17%

Teleop

191.9 54%

Endgame

103.4 29%

Strengths

· 5813 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 17%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.78 · Blue 2.83

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score127.3pts

Blue projected score370.4pts

Red win probability5%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 44%, blue 54%

Supercharged bonusred 8%, blue 14%

Traversal bonusred 17%, blue 24%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -243.1
Score range: 81–416
Upset likelihood: 5%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 385 vs event baseline 253.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

279.2Season APEX450.9

26.3Auto62.4

71.3Teleop191.9

25.7Endgame103.4

67Consistency90

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	12	35
teleop	41	165
endgame	9	98
foul	25	0
total	87	298

Result

Final score

87 – 298

Prediction correct · off by 56.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable