Qualification · Qualification 49

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

374.88 – 204.96

89%11%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

386 – 154

Prediction correct · off by 31 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 522.9 ±11.7

4546Shockwave

Season APEX 109.3Event APEX 41.21Rank 14Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6731Record Robotics

Season APEX 90.3Event APEX 48.31Rank 21Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

694StuyPulse

A+

Season APEX 323.3Event APEX 285.36Rank 1Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 329.9 ±10.4

1729Team Inconceivable!

Season APEX 123.9Event APEX 117.76Rank 19Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1155SciBorgs

Season APEX 121.3Event APEX 68.45Rank 15Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7153Aetos Dios (Eagles of Zeus)

Season APEX 84.7Event APEX 18.75Rank 45Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4546, 6731, 694

/ 100 compat

Projected

374.9 pts

~2.7 RP (offseason)

Teams: 4546, 6731, 694

Auto

52.7 14%

Teleop

219.7 58%

Endgame

105.6 28%

Strengths

· 694 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 64%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 19%

Blue · 1729, 1155, 7153

/ 100 compat

Projected

205 pts

~0.8 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1729, 1155, 7153

Auto

36.3 17%

Teleop

108.4 52%

Endgame

63.0 30%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 64%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 19%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.72 · Blue 0.82

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score374.9pts

Blue projected score205pts

Red win probability89%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 64%, blue 44%

Supercharged bonusred 10%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 19%, blue 12%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 169.9
Score range: 165–415
Upset likelihood: 11%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 540 vs event baseline 223.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

522.9Season APEX329.9

52.7Auto36.3

219.7Teleop108.4

105.6Endgame63

63Consistency44

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	31	11
teleop	248	100
endgame	107	43
foul	0	0
total	386	154

Result

Final score

386 – 154

Prediction correct · off by 31 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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