Qualification · Qualification 47

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

298.05 – 229.49

70%30%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

364 – 390

Prediction missed · off by 113.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 388.7 ±40.8

173RAGE Robotics ⚙️

Season APEX 117.2Event APEX 32.18Rank 17Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9990Off-Season Demo Team 9990

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 67.75Rank 35Record 3-6-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

1922Oz-Ram

Season APEX 271.5Event APEX 198.12Rank 4Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 417.5 ±11.4

1768Nashoba Robotics

A+

Season APEX 316.5Event APEX 140.6Rank 6Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1277The Robotomies

Season APEX 77.5Event APEX 54.2Rank 13Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1474Titans

Season APEX 23.5Event APEX 34.69Rank 34Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 173, 9990, 1922

/ 100 compat

Projected

298.1 pts

~2.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: 173, 9990, 1922

Auto

51.5 17%

Teleop

141.5 48%

Endgame

101.3 34%

Strengths

· 1922 anchors offense
· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 15%

Traversal: 22%

Blue · 1768, 1277, 1474

/ 100 compat

Projected

229.5 pts

~1.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1768, 1277, 1474

Auto

58.1 29%

Teleop

97.1 49%

Endgame

44.7 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 15%

Traversal: 22%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.37 · Blue 1.42

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score298.1pts

Blue projected score229.5pts

Red win probability70%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 60%, blue 57%

Supercharged bonusred 15%, blue 16%

Traversal bonusred 22%, blue 8%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 68.6
Score range: 190–337
Upset likelihood: 30%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 754 vs event baseline 219.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

388.7Season APEX417.5

51.5Auto58.1

141.5Teleop97.1

101.3Endgame44.7

156Consistency108

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	50	30
teleop	233	209
endgame	81	146
foul	0	5
total	364	390

Result

Final score

364 – 390

Prediction missed · off by 113.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable