Qualification · Qualification 44

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

164.8 – 11.76

87%13%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

352 – 20

Prediction correct · off by 97.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 285.1 ±11.6

10262Bionic Buzzers

Season APEX 97.2Event APEX 35.03Rank 25Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1729Team Inconceivable!

Season APEX 123.9Event APEX 90.63Rank 19Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6933Archytas

Season APEX 64Event APEX 39.14Rank 23Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 280 ±11

10063S.C.R.A.P.

Season APEX 107.5Event APEX 10.33Rank 46Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7153Aetos Dios (Eagles of Zeus)

Season APEX 84.7Event APEX 22.43Rank 45Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3461Operation PEACCE Robotics

Season APEX 87.8Event APEX -21Rank 40Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10262, 1729, 6933

/ 100 compat

Projected

164.8 pts

~2.5 RP (offseason)

Teams: 10262, 1729, 6933

Auto

31.8 19%

Teleop

102.0 60%

Endgame

36.6 21%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 12%

Blue · 10063, 7153, 3461

/ 100 compat

Projected

11.8 pts

~0.8 RP (offseason)

Teams: 10063, 7153, 3461

Auto

19.4 0%

Teleop

-20.2 100%

Endgame

-2.3 74%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 12%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.54 · Blue 0.83

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score164.8pts

Blue projected score11.8pts

Red win probability87%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 59%, blue 35%

Supercharged bonusred 9%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 12%, blue 16%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 153
Score range: -28–205
Upset likelihood: 13%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 372 vs event baseline 223.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

285.1Season APEX280

31.8Auto19.4

102Teleop-20.2

36.6Endgame-2.3

50Consistency149

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	31	4
teleop	204	10
endgame	82	6
foul	35	0
total	352	20

Result

Final score

352 – 20

Prediction correct · off by 97.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable