Qualification · Qualification 43
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
168.33 – 143.58
58%42%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
255 – 34
Prediction correct · off by 98.1 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 463.8 ±9.8
Season APEX 234.3Event APEX 81.42Rank 20Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 108.2Event APEX 29.51Rank 36Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 121.3Event APEX 57.4Rank 15Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 244 ±11.6
Season APEX 95.1Event APEX 46.77Rank 38Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 58.6Event APEX 36.54Rank 42Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 90.3Event APEX 60.27Rank 21Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 8724, 10910, 1155
50
/ 100 compatProjected
168.3 pts
~1.9 RP (offseason)
Teams: 8724, 10910, 1155
Auto
41.2 24%
Teleop
66.1 38%
Endgame
65.7 38%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 45%
Supercharged: 6%
Traversal: 23%
Blue · 1735, 6153, 6731
52
/ 100 compatProjected
143.6 pts
~1.4 RP (offseason)
Teams: 1735, 6153, 6731
Auto
26.2 18%
Teleop
73.0 50%
Endgame
45.4 31%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 45%
Supercharged: 6%
Traversal: 23%
Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.89 · Blue 1.45
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setOffseason
Red projected score168.3pts
Blue projected score143.6pts
Red win probability58%
Event bonus sample188alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 45%, blue 40%
Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 8%
Traversal bonusred 23%, blue 12%
- Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 24.8
- Score range
- 104–208
- Upset likelihood
- 42%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
463.8Season APEX244
41.2Auto26.2
66.1Teleop73
65.7Endgame45.4
35Consistency95
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 25 | 10 |
| teleop | 115 | 24 |
| endgame | 115 | 0 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 255 | 34 |
Result
Final score
255 – 34
Prediction correct · off by 98.1 pts
Score check across official sources:
first-unavailable
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