Qualification · Qualification 42

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

318.88 – 132.1

91%9%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

481 – 236

Prediction correct · off by 133 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 510.9 ±11.2

5494Bizarbots Robotics

Season APEX 79.2Event APEX 14.49Rank 41Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

694StuyPulse

A+

Season APEX 323.3Event APEX 269.5Rank 1Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

467Center of Mass

Season APEX 108.4Event APEX 34.89Rank 16Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 500 ±11.2

4546Shockwave

Season APEX 109.3Event APEX 15.81Rank 14Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

238Crusaders

A+

Season APEX 297.5Event APEX 59.03Rank 24Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8567Team Ultraviolet

Season APEX 93.2Event APEX 57.26Rank 37Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5494, 694, 467

/ 100 compat

Projected

318.9 pts

~2.8 RP (offseason)

Teams: 5494, 694, 467

Auto

32.1 10%

Teleop

166.1 54%

Endgame

109.7 36%

Strengths

· 694 anchors offense
· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 22%

Traversal: 19%

Blue · 4546, 238, 8567

/ 100 compat

Projected

132.1 pts

~1.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: 4546, 238, 8567

Auto

10.3 7%

Teleop

51.2 36%

Endgame

79.1 56%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 22%

Traversal: 19%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.75 · Blue 1

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score318.9pts

Blue projected score132.1pts

Red win probability91%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 52%, blue 56%

Supercharged bonusred 22%, blue 8%

Traversal bonusred 19%, blue 17%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 186.8
Score range: 92–359
Upset likelihood: 9%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 717 vs event baseline 221.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

510.9Season APEX500

32.1Auto10.3

166.1Teleop51.2

109.7Endgame79.1

117Consistency87

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	66	24
teleop	286	123
endgame	114	89
foul	15	0
total	481	236

Result

Final score

481 – 236

Prediction correct · off by 133 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable