Qualification · Qualification 4

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

179.19 – 172.79

52%48%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

210 – 137

Prediction correct · off by 33.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 279.6 ±11

8567Team Ultraviolet

Season APEX 93.2Event APEX 50.61Rank 37Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1155SciBorgs

Season APEX 121.3Event APEX 67.76Rank 15Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

157AZTECHS

Season APEX 65.1Event APEX 60.82Rank 22Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 171.5 ±41

9990Off-Season Demo Team 9990

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 96.98Rank 35Record 3-6-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

6933Archytas

Season APEX 64Event APEX 63.21Rank 23Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10063S.C.R.A.P.

Season APEX 107.5Event APEX 12.6Rank 46Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8567, 1155, 157

/ 100 compat

Projected

179.2 pts

~1.8 RP (offseason)

Teams: 8567, 1155, 157

Auto

14.2 8%

Teleop

98.9 53%

Endgame

72.6 39%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 16%

Blue · 9990, 6933, 10063

/ 100 compat

Projected

172.8 pts

~1.7 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9990, 6933, 10063

Auto

33.2 19%

Teleop

81.3 46%

Endgame

60.9 35%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 16%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.76 · Blue 1.7

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score179.2pts

Blue projected score172.8pts

Red win probability52%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 50%, blue 52%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 16%, blue 17%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 6.4
Score range: 127–225
Upset likelihood: 48%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 347 vs event baseline 253.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

279.6Season APEX171.5

14.2Auto33.2

98.9Teleop81.3

72.6Endgame60.9

83Consistency91

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	21	20
teleop	124	84
endgame	65	33
foul	0	0
total	210	137

Result

Final score

210 – 137

Prediction correct · off by 33.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable