Qualification · Qualification 39

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

176.58 – 92.28

74%26%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

162 – 117

Prediction correct · off by 19.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 543.9 ±11.4

3461Operation PEACCE Robotics

Season APEX 87.8Event APEX -12.46Rank 40Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1591Greece Gladiators

Season APEX 206.6Event APEX 102.05Rank 8Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 94

190Gompei and the HERD

Season APEX 249.5Event APEX 86.99Rank 18Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 260.5 ±10.4

11175Tidal Shock

Season APEX 98Event APEX 28.43Rank 39Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7153Aetos Dios (Eagles of Zeus)

Season APEX 84.7Event APEX 21.49Rank 45Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8708Ov3R1y K0Mp13X

Season APEX 77.8Event APEX 42.36Rank 29Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3461, 1591, 190

/ 100 compat

Projected

176.6 pts

~2.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: 3461, 1591, 190

Auto

24.4 14%

Teleop

107.4 64%

Endgame

36.5 22%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 16%

Traversal: 23%

Blue · 11175, 7153, 8708

/ 100 compat

Projected

92.3 pts

~1.1 RP (offseason)

Teams: 11175, 7153, 8708

Auto

30.9 35%

Teleop

19.4 22%

Endgame

38.1 43%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 16%

Traversal: 23%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.43 · Blue 1.1

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score176.6pts

Blue projected score92.3pts

Red win probability74%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 55%, blue 37%

Supercharged bonusred 16%, blue 7%

Traversal bonusred 23%, blue 14%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 84.3
Score range: 53–216
Upset likelihood: 26%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 279 vs event baseline 218.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

543.9Season APEX260.5

24.4Auto30.9

107.4Teleop19.4

36.5Endgame38.1

69Consistency92

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	16	24
teleop	87	52
endgame	44	41
foul	15	0
total	162	117

Result

Final score

162 – 117

Prediction correct · off by 19.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable