Qualification · Qualification 37

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

93.1 – 188.48

23%77%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

149 – 156

Prediction correct · off by 44.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 153.2 ±13.9

516StuyPlus

Season APEX 78.8Event APEX 29.43Rank 26Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 94

1474Titans

Season APEX 23.5Event APEX 41.66Rank 34Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4176Iron Tigers

Season APEX 50.9Event APEX 22.01Rank 44Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 296.3 ±11.7

5494Bizarbots Robotics

Season APEX 79.2Event APEX 24.78Rank 41Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1729Team Inconceivable!

Season APEX 123.9Event APEX 106.45Rank 19Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8567Team Ultraviolet

Season APEX 93.2Event APEX 57.25Rank 37Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 516, 1474, 4176

/ 100 compat

Projected

93.1 pts

~1.2 RP (offseason)

Teams: 516, 1474, 4176

Auto

6.4 8%

Teleop

62.4 74%

Endgame

15.0 18%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 11%

Blue · 5494, 1729, 8567

/ 100 compat

Projected

188.5 pts

~2.3 RP (offseason)

Teams: 5494, 1729, 8567

Auto

32.7 18%

Teleop

81.5 46%

Endgame

63.6 36%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 11%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.17 · Blue 2.3

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score93.1pts

Blue projected score188.5pts

Red win probability23%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 50%, blue 49%

Supercharged bonusred 8%, blue 11%

Traversal bonusred 11%, blue 16%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -95.4
Score range: 53–228
Upset likelihood: 23%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

Combined score 305 vs event baseline 223.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

153.2Season APEX296.3

6.4Auto32.7

62.4Teleop81.5

15Endgame63.6

81Consistency74

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	19	16
teleop	76	53
endgame	19	87
foul	35	0
total	149	156

Result

Final score

149 – 156

Prediction correct · off by 44.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable