Qualification · Qualification 32

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

145.5 – 96.34

65%35%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

217 – 208

Prediction correct · off by 91.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 388 ±10.5

7153Aetos Dios (Eagles of Zeus)

Season APEX 84.7Event APEX 4.83Rank 45Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6933Archytas

Season APEX 64Event APEX 44.52Rank 23Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

166Chop Shop

Season APEX 239.3Event APEX 96.15Rank 11Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 234.5 ±12.2

1277The Robotomies

Season APEX 77.5Event APEX 74.25Rank 13Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5494Bizarbots Robotics

Season APEX 79.2Event APEX 9.69Rank 41Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8708Ov3R1y K0Mp13X

Season APEX 77.8Event APEX 12.4Rank 29Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7153, 6933, 166

/ 100 compat

Projected

145.5 pts

~1.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 7153, 6933, 166

Auto

33.1 22%

Teleop

69.0 46%

Endgame

48.7 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 8%

Blue · 1277, 5494, 8708

/ 100 compat

Projected

96.3 pts

~1.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1277, 5494, 8708

Auto

-0.5 0%

Teleop

59.9 69%

Endgame

26.9 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 8%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.92 · Blue 1.36

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score145.5pts

Blue projected score96.3pts

Red win probability65%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 49%, blue 40%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 8%

Traversal bonusred 8%, blue 18%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 49.2
Score range: 57–185
Upset likelihood: 35%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

Combined score 425 vs event baseline 218.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

388Season APEX234.5

33.1Auto-0.5

69Teleop59.9

48.7Endgame26.9

184Consistency43

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	61	42
teleop	103	82
endgame	48	69
foul	5	15
total	217	208

Result

Final score

217 – 208

Prediction correct · off by 91.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable